Arizona St
W-L: ( 6- 3) PR = 80.5839Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H No Arizona 38-19 906 A Miss St SEC ( 5- 4, 78.2) 20-24 913 H Texas State SUN ( 2- 6, 67.6) 34-15 920 A Baylor B12 ( 4- 5, 71.2) 27-24 926 H TCU B12 ( 6- 2, 81.2) 27-24 1011 A Utah B12 ( 7- 2, 91.9) 10-42 1018 H Texas Tech B12 ( 8- 1, 99.9) 26-22 1025 H Houston B12 ( 7- 2, 76.5) 16-24 1101 A Iowa St B12 ( 4- 4, 78.2) 24-19 1115 H We Virginia B12 ( 3- 6, 73.1) 1122 A Colorado B12 ( 3- 6, 72.9) 1128 H Arizona B12 ( 5- 3, 80.4)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Miss St 20-24 -4 -2 - -2.41
913 H Texas State 34-15 19 17 + 2.06
920 A Baylor 27-24 3 5 - -2.45
926 H TCU 27-24 3 3 -0.34
1011 A Utah 10-42 -32 -15 -- -4.76
1018 H Texas Tech 26-22 4 -15 +++ 19.39
1025 H Houston 16-24 -8 8 --- -16.02
1101 A Iowa St 24-19 5 -2 +++ 6.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 H Houston 16-24 -8 8 --- -16.02 1011 A Utah 10-42 -32 -15 -- -4.76 906 A Miss St 20-24 -4 -2 - -2.41 920 A Baylor 27-24 3 5 - -2.45 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Texas Tech 26-22 4 -15 +++ 19.39 1101 A Iowa St 24-19 5 -2 +++ 6.54 913 H Texas State 34-15 19 17 + 2.06 |
Arizona St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| California | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Clemson | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Duke | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Florida St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| NC St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | Arizona St | Arizona St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stanford | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Syracuse | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Wake Forest | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Army | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Charlotte | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Ea Carolina | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| No Texas | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Rice | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Tulane | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Tulsa | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UAB | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UTSA | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| Arizona | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Arizona St | |
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Cincinnati | Arizona St | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Colorado | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Arizona St | |
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Kansas | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Kansas St | Arizona St | Arizona St 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Oklahoma St | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Arizona St | |
| TCU | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Texas Tech | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UCF | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Michigan | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Michigan St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Minnesota | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Nebraska | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Northwestern | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Purdue | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Rutgers | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UCLA | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Florida Intl | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Liberty | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| La Tech | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Middle Tenn | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| NM St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| SHouston St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UTEP | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| We Kentucky | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UMass | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Akron | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Ball St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Bowl. Green | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Buffalo | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Cen Michigan | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Ea Michigan | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Kent State | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| MiamiOH | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| No Illinois | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Ohio | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Toledo | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| We Michigan | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Air Force | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Boise State | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Colorado St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Fresno St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Hawaii | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Nevada | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| New Mexico | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| San Diego St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| San Jose St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UNLV | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Utah St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Wyoming | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Oregon St | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Wash St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Auburn | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| Florida | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| LSU | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tennessee | |
| Texas | Texas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Arkansas State | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Coastal Car | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Georgia So | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Georgia St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Marshall | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| Old Dominion | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| So Miss | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| So Alabama | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Texas State | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Troy | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| La-Monroe | Arizona St | Arizona St |
PowerWise = 105
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Miss St ( 5- 4, 78.2) 20-24 -21.66 32.33 3.93 1.06 -9.38
0 H Texas State ( 2- 6, 67.6) 34-15 -32.32 21.66 -3.93 1.06 37.52
0 A Baylor ( 4- 5, 71.2) 27-24 -28.70 25.29 3.93 1.06 61.82
0 H TCU ( 6- 2, 81.2) 27-24 -18.72 35.27 -3.93 1.06 66.30
0 A Utah ( 7- 2, 91.9) 10-42 -8.01 45.98 3.93 1.06 -2.16
0 H Texas Tech ( 8- 1, 99.9) 26-22 -0.00 53.99 -3.93 1.06 105.91
0 H Houston ( 7- 2, 76.5) 16-24 -23.40 30.59 -3.93 1.06 -14.46
0 A Iowa St ( 4- 4, 78.2) 24-19 -21.71 32.28 3.93 1.06 76.62
------
322.17
|
winning pts = 348.1660 losing points = -25.9934
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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